🚗 A Review of Trends and Patterns of Vehicle Registration and Vehicle Ownership in Developing Countries: Evidence from Bangladesh¶
Analyzing the Shift from Public to Private Transport in Developing Countries¶
Can you spot the policy gap driving the surge in private vehicle ownership?
📝 Overview¶
This study provides a comprehensive review of vehicle registration and ownership trends in Bangladesh from 2010 to 2023, identifying key patterns that challenge sustainable urban mobility. Despite Bangladesh having one of the lowest motorization rates globally, the country is experiencing rapid growth in private vehicle ownership, particularly motorcycles and private cars.
The analysis reveals a critical policy paradox: while national policies prioritize public transport, registration data shows a massive surge in private motorized vehicles, exacerbating congestion and pollution. [cite_start]This project uses data from the Bangladesh Road Transport Authority (BRTA) and World Bank to visualize these trends and propose policy interventions for a shift back to sustainable public transit[cite: 3, 4, 13].
🎯 Objectives¶
- Objective 1: Analyze temporal trends in vehicle registration to quantify the growth of different vehicle categories (private vs. public).
- Objective 2: Investigate the causal factors driving the surge in private vehicle ownership, including economic growth and public transport inadequacies.
- Objective 3: Evaluate the gap between current transportation policies (e.g., STP, RSTP) and on-the-ground registration realities to recommend corrective strategies.
🛠️ Tools & Technologies¶
⚙️ Methodology¶
| Step | Description |
|---|---|
| 1. Data Collection | Aggregated annual vehicle registration data (2010–2023) from BRTA and socio-economic indicators from the World Bank and Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS). |
| 2. Trend Analysis | Calculated Year-on-Year (YoY) growth rates and Compound Annual Growth Rates (CAGR) for different vehicle types (Motorcycles, Cars, Buses). |
| 3. Policy Review | Conducted a comparative analysis of national transport policies (National Land Transport Policy, Strategic Transport Plan) against actual registration data. |
| 4. Visualization | Developed comparative charts to visualize the disparity between private vehicle growth (Motorcycles: ~80% of total) and public transport stagnation. |
Presentation Slides ⬇️¶
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📊 Results & Insights¶
- 🏍️ The Motorcycle Boom: Motorcycles dominate the vehicle fleet, accounting for nearly 80% of all registered vehicles as of 2023, driven by ride-sharing apps and the lack of reliable public transit.
- 📉 Public Transport Stagnation: Despite high demand, the growth of buses and minibuses has plateaued or declined relative to private vehicles, highlighting a failure in public transport investment.
- 🚗 Dhaka's Dominance: A disproportionate share of vehicles (especially private cars and SUVs) are concentrated in Dhaka, contributing to the city's notorious gridlock.
🏆 Achievements¶
- ✅ Presented at Transportation Planning Coursework Final.
- 🏅 Identified critical gaps between the Strategic Transport Plan (STP) and actual vehicle growth trends.
- 📌 Proposed policy recommendations for congestion pricing and decentralized public transport investment.
🔖 Tags¶
Transportation Planning Urban Mobility Data Analysis Bangladesh BRTA Policy Review Vehicle Ownership Sustainable Transport